User:Vtaylor/Financial Reality book
Contents
- 1
- 2 proposal what why 1page
- 3 if I knew then ...
- 4 big picture basics terminology
- 5 it's the economy
- 6 pundits advisors observers academics
- 7 taxes government spending deficit
- 8 prices demand inflation
- 9 income cost of living housing food education
- 10 women
- 11 energy transportation
- 12 discretionary spending
- 13 global economy imports exports tariffs sanctions
- 14 stocks bonds assets savings retirement
- 15 myth trivia amusing
- 16 future serious dark clouds
fbook1
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. more than personal finance . 2022.12.28
wp financial reality 3538 posts . selected observations comments critiques fundamentals risks strategies women . Learn more...
proposal what why 1page
. why . positive change
2022.12.25 Mike has been keeping this commentary on all things financial since August 2004. There are plenty of great articles that could be collected and curated into a useful "book". There are a broad range topics that are covered in depth. Others are just interesting, funny, thought provoking and a few that are downright scary. The need for this book became clearer when chatting with friends recently. A number of years ago, a friend had liked Mike's description of "zero coupon bonds" and purchased a bunch with money set aside for the grandkids college funds. Turns out this was a very good choice - the bonds were appropriate for the financial objective and the return was great. He asked that Mike describe this to another friend whose Tesla stock was down about $100K at that point. It was soon clear that this was going to take more than a casual chat. Over the years Mike has written about this and many other financial realities. No time like the present to gather up the good stuff and put together an organized presentation of the information. .. The original premise of the blog and the writing was to keep an running record of major financial situations as they happen with the ultimate expectation that there was a lot of history being made here. The current financial reality is quite different from what is on offer from the media and most of the financial press and academic writing. How bad can it be? Think "tulip mania", "south seas bubble", the "great depression". Not a pretty sight and almost everyone is either blissfully unaware or being assured that things are different this time. So why are so many people having trouble making ends meet? . Mike sees himself as the Eyore type - little black cloud overhead and this shows up in his writing. Valerie is more the Pooh type - optimistic, sometime a bit short on detailed analysis.
Why is there a need for your proposed publication? Have there been changes in your field to cause a need for it, or is there a gap in the existing literature that needs to be filled?
..
Please also tell us about the primary market. Who needs your book? Indicate the audience(s) for this material (e.g. academic/research, graduate students, professionals). Be as specific as possible. If the book is aimed at graduate students, please indicate whether it is a primary or supplemental text. .. professionals, individuals with substantial net worth working with professional advisors, beyond basic money management, interested broader scope of financial reality not readily available even through popular financial media eg. Yahoo! Finance, Fortune, Wall Street Journal, CNN, Motly Fool
Any information about the secondary market should be included; this should be a list of groups with an occasional need for this material. Who might need your book?
List in order of importance any professional societies or organizations that are likely to be part of the readership for your book.
If you know of any similar publications to the one you propose, this is really helpful information for us. Think about their weaknesses and strengths, and how your publication stands out. Sally ?, Susie Orman
How many words do you anticipate to fully cover your topic? How many pages of appendixes? ?? 40-50K words . Timetable:
if I knew then ...
continuing sagas . stories over time as observations - Google IPO, Crytocurrency . a lot has happened since the blog began in August 2004 . some pleasant surprises, some horror stories . an interesting look back through the collection presented in chronological order
It's different this time . do overs expecting different results . comparisons to 1929
important quotes . situational awareness . applicability
? rest mostly by topic rather than strictly in date sequence with information from earlier posts to set the stage or describe the situation as necessary for context
big picture basics terminology
diagrams
money . circulation currency US dollar exchange rate risk reward interest
measurements reporting . CPI consumer price index . inflation deflation . GDP Gross Domestic Product
banking . borrowing lending deposits credit reserves FDIC
government . guarantees banking mortgages Fanny Freddie Ginny Federal Reserve
indicators . leading trailing yield return
other . bankruptcy
bad things . crash collapse recession depression
it's the economy
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/measuring-the-economy/ . What constitutes a good economy (or a bad one)? What does an economy need to do to earn a merit badge? . The purpose of the economy is to improve everyone’s standard of living by increasing the quantity of goods and services delivered to people for their personal consumption. So if we want to know how the economy is doing, that is what we need to measure.
pundits advisors observers academics
. "economists" rants . not Nobel prize
taxes government spending deficit
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2011/01/11/the-military-industrial-complex/ . Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. -- Dwight Eisenhower . We are now in a state of continuous war and the expense of the defense establishment is killing the nation’s economy. The U.S. military now has over 1,000 bases around the world. The United States spends nearly as much on military power as every other country in the world combined
prices demand inflation
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2020/12/01/flation-in-disin-de-and-hyperin/ . Inflation is the name commonly given to the declining purchasing power of a currency, in our case the US dollar. It is the result of the combined efforts of the Federal Reserve and the Federal government. Inflation is primarily created by the excess demand for goods and services that results from government deficit spending.
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2022/05/21/you-cant-make-this-stuff-up-3/
. approved E15 fuel for use during the summer driving season in the hope of reducing gasoline prices. E15 of course contains 15% ethanol and is usually not allowed in summertime. Ethanol is made from corn – food – which is predicted to be in short supply due to the high price of fertilizer, as a worldwide famine develops this winter. So we’re going to get a few cents off a gallon – maybe – at the cost of tighter food supply, leading to higher prices and people going hungry.
income cost of living housing food education
fixed income
women
Stephanie Pomboy
Danielle DiMartino Booth
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2011/06/04/celebrity-chefs/ . When we talk about and measure “the economy,” we are talking about and measuring exchanges for monetary value. But there are many unmeasured exchanges which contribute great value to us, but are not measured as part of the economy because there is no money exchange. A prime example is the unmeasured contribution of people, mostly women, who stay at home and contribute to their families by raising children, cooking meals and generally providing domestic bliss.
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2012/02/28/modern-monetary-theory/ . The economy is about the exchange of goods and services which enables the division of labor, and to understand and manage the economy we must look to this “real” economy, that is, the actual goods and services that are exchanged. Unfortunately we manage the real economy by using money as a measuring stick. Monetarists want to distort the measuring stick so that the “numbers” look better, although the reality is not. Yes, we need some way to measure value so that we can trade guns for butter. But we are far better off with a stable measuring stick so that our measurements are stable enough to be useful. . The last time this was seen was in World War II, when national need justified a severe cutback to consumption and the mobilization of women to build the plant, equipment and infrastructure needed to win the war.
energy transportation
big impact separate
discretionary spending
global economy imports exports tariffs sanctions
stocks bonds assets savings retirement
myth trivia amusing
You can’t make this stuff up. . Crypto nft fart in a jar
. broken window fallacy
Q: When is a recession not a recession? A: When it's a kumquat
. https://financialreality.wordpress.com/2022/07/29/kumquat/
. Carter admin economist Alfred Kahn who, when forbidden to mention “recession,” used the word “banana” instead. Banana growers protested, so he switched to “kumquat.”