Disaster Prediction

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Improved Prediction and Reliable Communication

Is there technologies that can create accurate prediction for earthquakes, tropical cyclones, tornadoes and other disasters and give reliable information in time to save more lives?


GeoCosmo who use semiconductor physics for earthquake prediction, in an opensource platform/program Geocosmo spc is the commercial evolution of EARTHQUAKE FORECASTING https://www.geocosmospc.com/

QuakeFinder’s mission is to save lives by finding a way to forecast major earthquakes. QuakeFinder operates as a humanitarian research project of aerospace engineering firm Stellar Solutions. The project’s goal is to develop technology and methods for detection and analysis of electromagnetic earthquake precursors to produce earthquake forecasts based on sound scientific theory and practice. https://www.quakefinder.com/about/

At this time QuakerFinder is monitoring emissions in earthquake prone regions including California, Peru, Taiwan and Greece. Data recorded is transmitted to a data center in Palo Alto, CA where is is analyzed..To date analysis has revealed apparent earthquikes for three significant quakes.


http://ptwc.weather.gov/ NOAA's National Weather service Pacific Tsunami Warning Center

Although tsunami alerts can be issued within minutes of an earthquake occurring, the most effective warning for nearby communities is the earthquake itself.

Education is crucial in saving lives so people need to know how to evacuate immediately to higher ground if they feel a large earthquake. If higher ground is not nearby, another option is to evacuate vertically, by going upstairs in well-constructed multi-storey buildings.

Refining the alogrithm for earthquake early warning to better estimate the earthquake size and to reduce false alarms is an active area of research in the earthquake community.

Technological speed is the only reason earthquake warnings became possible. Improvements will cause warnign to arrive faster.

https://www.shakealert.org/ ShakeAlert is an earthquake early warning system for the West Coast of the United States. This system is to identify an earthquake a few seconds after it begins, calculate the likely intensity of ground shaking that will result and deli ver warnings to people and infrastructure in harm's ways. This type warning comes before the S-wave arrives, which brings strong shaking that usually cause the damage.

Since many parts of the world, communication infrastructure and mechanisms are limited and currently rely on word-of-mouth, we need new forms of communication or new approaches that allow the global standardization of accurate and rapid communication.

Technology needs to improve the timeliness and consistency in the communication of a natural disaster once an accurate prediction has been made. Sometime the information given out prior to a natural disaster is confusing, misleading, or ignored. In order to avoid loss of life we need quick, reliable, connsistent and one that can be accessed by everyone.

Dwocjo (talk)09:00, 21 July 2018

It seems like this would be the toughest project to tackle. I think this would be an amazing technology, and it's perceived benefits would be amazing if implemented globally. However it does bring up the realization of a technology that can not be supported by the infrastructure of every country. This technology would need to be paired with an affordable global communication device. Or at least large warning devices similar to those used in the world wars, such as sirens, or other inexpensive warning systems in areas prone to these natural disasters.

Jaytee1596 (talk)08:29, 18 February 2020