e-Learning Activity - Scenario matrix
|Scenario planning for educators|
|Drivers of fundamental change||Introduction and objectives | Video signposts | Trends | Uncertainties | e-Learning Activity - Scenario matrix | FAQs|
e-Learning activity summary
|Title:||Publishing your scenario matrix|
|30 - 45 mins|
|Review the examples below which illustrate how to construct a deductive scenario matrix.|
- Visit the list of key uncertainty questions shared by participants to generate ideas for selecting uncertainties relevant to your own context
- Cast votes (if appropriate) for new uncertainties listed since you last visited the site.
- Review the stimulus image above to see how to construct a scenario matrix with four resultant quadrants.
- Select the key uncertainties you would like to use for your own scenario. Note:
- In some cases, it may be appropriate to distinguish between low and high impact of the uncertainty concerned.
- You are free to select your uncertainties from the list generated by participants but you may decide to use your own alternatives.
- Remember to select factors which are important (e.g. they will result in a fundamental impact on current operations) and uncertain.
- Plot a draft scenario matrix using 2 to 4 key uncertainties and see if the resultant quadrants in the 2 X 2 matrix are valid and would contribute to the development of a coherent and plausible story line for your scenario. You may need to refine your identified uncertainties or use better alternatives.
- Select your final uncertainties for constructing a scenario matrix.